What is top-1 scenario hit rate?

The page lists more likely allotment patterns and marks the most likely one. A top-1 hit means that choice matched the official Pool A/B pattern. It tests whether the shape was right, not whether every tier's lot count was accurate.

Hot IPO allotment patterns can jump. Check whether the shape was in the main candidates first, then read tier-level lot error. Do not merge the two into one accuracy number.

Historical hit rate is not the allocation probability of the next IPO. Clicking a comparison pattern only changes the table, not the main reference. Top2 coverage is the complement: whether the actual pattern was among the first two candidates.

Allotment detail pages show more likely patterns and their likelihood. Backtest top-1 hit rate checks whether those patterns matched historically.