EASTROC

09980A+HListed

消費 · 东鹏饮料（集团）股份有限公司是一家在中国注册的股份有限公司，主要从事饮料产品的研发、生产和销售。

Cautious

58.8

/100

Offer price: HK$248.00
Final offer price: HK$248.00
Lot / entry fee: 100 shares · HK$25K
Proceeds: HK$10.14B
Sponsor: Huatai Financial / Morgan Stanley / UBS
Est. margin oversub.: 43.6x
Public oversub.: 57.5x
One-lot win rate: 15.0%
First-day return: +1.5%

Offer starts

Jan 26

Offer closes

Jan 29

Grey market

Feb 2

Listing

Feb 3

AI reference scoring and scenarios

After grey market

After grey market L1 heat score

58.8/ 100

Data coverage High

Target

Historical calibration

Listing-day trend

CautiousPartial basis

Up probability

35.8%

First-day reference range

-4.9% – +16.9%

Published outcome check

First-day resultFlat+1.5%

Our call: Trend call valid

Covered 22/25 core factors

UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A

Margin oversubscription

Medium heat

Offer size

Weak quality

Cornerstone lockup

Strong support

Post-lockup offer value

Weak scarcity

Recent same-rule trend

Strong trend

Recent same-type trend

Poor trend

Recent sector trend

Strong trend

Valuation

Weak appeal

Fundamental quality

Good quality

Growth quality

High quality

Profitability

Weaker quality

Cash runway

—

Customer concentration

—

Cornerstone quality

Strong support

Sponsor record

Strong record

Greenshoe arrangementGreenshoe: yes · 15%

Average support

Stabilizer track recordMorgan Stanley

Good record

A-share pre-grey trend

Poor trend

A-share listing-day trend

Poor trend

Public oversubscription

High heat

One-lot win rate

Medium heat

International placing

Low heat

Final pricing position

—

Actual greenshoe useCumulative use +38.8%

Weak support

Grey market return

Neutral trend

The assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.

AI Research Report

After grey market

The analysis report for this IPO is being generated.