HK IPOAI

MERDEKAGOLD-DRS

06228SecondaryListed

資源/礦業 · 公司是一家在印尼上市的金矿开采企业,核心资产为Pani金矿,主要生产金锭。

MERDEKAGOLD-DRS (06228) is a listed Hong Kong IPO. This page brings together the offer price, entry fee, subscription timeline, grey-market context, allotment data and stage-based reference research in one place.

Offer price
HK$26.60
Final offer price
HK$26.60
One-lot win rate
100.0%

Predicted 76.0%

Proceeds
HK$2.39B
Public oversub.
4.4x

Lot / entry fee 100 shares · HK$3K · Sponsor UBS / CITIC Securities

  1. Offer starts Jun 17
  2. /Offer closes Jun 23
  3. /Grey market Jun 25
  4. /Listing Jun 26Now

SubscriptionMERDEKAGOLD-DRS: subscription-stage reference

The subscription stage draws on the prospectus, sponsor record and early public filings. Allotment results and grey-market prints have not occurred yet.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
52.7
Forecast grey range
-19.2% – -9.4%

Pre-greyMERDEKAGOLD-DRS: pre-grey-market reference

The pre-grey stage includes published allotment and public oversubscription data. Grey-market prints are not yet reflected here.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
49.5
Forecast grey range
-19.1% – -9.4%

Post-greyMERDEKAGOLD-DRS: post-grey-market reference

The post-grey stage includes grey-market price and turnover observations. Listing-day results still follow official trading and company announcements.

Current
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
46.7
Forecast first-day range
-24.8% – +3.3%
View factors and research
Model forecastListing-day trendHigh cautionUp probability 40.0%
Published outcome check
First-day resultDown-6.5%Weak all day
Our call: Trend call valid
Covered 20/25 core factors
UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A
Margin oversubscription
Weak heat
Offer size
Weaker quality
Cornerstone lockup
Strong support
Post-lockup offer value
Weak scarcity
Recent same-rule trend
Strong trend
Recent same-type trend
Recent sector trend
Strong trend
Valuation
Weak appeal
Fundamental quality
Average quality
Growth quality
Weak quality
Profitability
Weak quality
Cash runway
Weak quality
Customer concentration
Cornerstone quality
Strong support
Sponsor record
Strong record
Greenshoe arrangementGreenshoe: yes · 15%
Average support
Stabilizer track recordCLSA
Strong record
A-share pre-grey trend
A-share listing-day trend
Public oversubscription
Weak heat
One-lot win rate
Weak heat
International placing
High heat
Final pricing position
Actual greenshoe useCumulative use +82.2%
Low support
Grey market return
Poor trend

The assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.

AI Research Report

Post-grey
The analysis report for this IPO is being generated.

Last updated 18:35:05

HK$25.18
-5.34%
26.7725.8925.01HK$26.6016:1518:35
Listing price
HK$26.60
Open
High
Low
Bid / Ask
— / —
Volume
Turnover View source

MERDEKAGOLD-DRS: predicted allotment

Only key tiers are shown here. Full tiers and other allotment-pattern comparisons are on the allotment-odds page.

1 lot
76.0%

Official 100.0%

A tail · Apply 1,000 lots
35.49 lots

Official 66 lots

B head · Apply 2,000 lots
327.48 lots

Official 500 lots

Top hammer
7,114.02 lots

Official 11,001 lots

Most likely allotment patternLarger Pool A applications get less extra allotmentPool B allotment is similar across tiersView full allotment-odds research

How to read this page

These answers combine this IPO’s published figures with clearly labeled model estimates. They explain how to read the modules above and are not investment advice.

What is the one-lot allotment rate for MERDEKAGOLD-DRS?

Public allotment filings put the official one-lot rate at 100.0%, versus this site's pre-allotment model estimate of 76.0%. It is an observation for a 1-lot application, not a guaranteed result.

What is the difference between A-tail and B-head for MERDEKAGOLD-DRS?

Based on the prospectus's legal application tiers, A-tail is 1,000 lots and B-head is 2,000 lots, representing about HK$2.7M and HK$5.3M of application principal. Official average allotment was 66 lots and 500 lots, versus pre-allotment model estimates of 35.49 lots and 327.48 lots. Pool A and Pool B are allocated separately, so application size alone does not show capital efficiency.

Can the grey-market price of MERDEKAGOLD-DRS be treated as the listing price?

The compiled grey-market observation is about -4.1%, versus -6.5% on the listing day. Grey-market prints are pre-listing sentiment from public sources, not the official opening price.

Why does MERDEKAGOLD-DRS have three reference ratings?

The current status is "Listed", so start with the post-grey section. Subscription, pre-grey and post-grey each use only the public information available at that point, so the score can change. Labels are high attention / neutral / caution only — informational comparison, not a buy or subscribe call.