HK IPOAIHong Kong IPO intelligence

MERDEKAGOLD-DRS

06228SecondaryListed

資源/礦業 · 公司是一家在印尼上市的金矿开采企业,核心资产为Pani金矿,主要生产金锭。

Cautious
46.7
/100
Offer price
HK$26.60
Final offer price
HK$26.60
Lot / entry fee
100 shares · HK$3K
Proceeds
HK$2.39B
Sponsor
UBS / CITIC Securities
Est. margin oversub.
2.9x
Public oversub.
4.4x
One-lot win rate
100.0%
First-day return
-6.5%
Offer starts
Jun 17
Offer closes
Jun 23
Grey market
Jun 25
Listing
Jun 26

AI reference scoring and scenarios

After grey market
After grey market L1 heat score
46.7/ 100
Data coverage High
Target
Historical calibration
Listing-day trend
High cautionPartial basis
Up probability
40.0%
First-day reference range
-36.6% – -5.5%
Published outcome check
First-day resultDown-6.5%Weak all day
Our call: Trend call valid
Covered 20/25 core factors
UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A
Margin oversubscription
Weak heat
Offer size
Weaker quality
Cornerstone lockup
Strong support
Post-lockup offer value
Weak scarcity
Recent same-rule trend
Strong trend
Recent same-type trend
Recent sector trend
Strong trend
Valuation
Weak appeal
Fundamental quality
Average quality
Growth quality
Weak quality
Profitability
Weak quality
Cash runway
Weak quality
Customer concentration
Cornerstone quality
Strong support
Sponsor record
Strong record
Greenshoe arrangementGreenshoe: yes · 15%
Average support
Stabilizer track recordCLSA
Strong record
A-share pre-grey trend
A-share listing-day trend
Public oversubscription
Weak heat
One-lot win rate
Weak heat
International placing
High heat
Final pricing position
Actual greenshoe useCumulative use +82.2%
Low support
Grey market return
Poor trend

The assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.

AI Research Report

After grey market
The analysis report for this IPO is being generated.