HK IPOAI

XUNCE

03317Listed

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XUNCE (迅策) (03317) is a listed Hong Kong IPO. This page brings together the offer price, entry fee, subscription timeline, grey-market context, allotment data and stage-based reference research in one place.

Offer price
HK$48.00
Final offer price
HK$48.00
One-lot win rate
12.8%

Predicted 36.7%

Proceeds
HK$1.08B
Public oversub.
7.2x

Lot / entry fee 100 shares · HK$5K · Sponsor Guotai Junan

  1. Offer starts Dec 18
  2. /Offer closes Dec 23
  3. /Grey market Dec 29
  4. /Listing Dec 30Now

SubscriptionXUNCE: subscription-stage reference

The subscription stage draws on the prospectus, sponsor record and early public filings. Allotment results and grey-market prints have not occurred yet.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
50.6
Forecast grey range
-16.5% – +49.5%

Pre-greyXUNCE: pre-grey-market reference

The pre-grey stage includes published allotment and public oversubscription data. Grey-market prints are not yet reflected here.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
52.2
Forecast grey range
-13.2% – +52.3%

Post-greyXUNCE: post-grey-market reference

The post-grey stage includes grey-market price and turnover observations. Listing-day results still follow official trading and company announcements.

Current
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
48.5
Forecast first-day range
-25.6% – +2.4%
View factors and research
Model forecastListing-day trendHigh cautionUp probability 40.0%
Published outcome check
First-day resultFlat+1.0%
Our call: Trend call valid
Covered 18/25 core factors
UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A
Margin oversubscription
Weak heat
Offer size
Weaker quality
Cornerstone lockup
Post-lockup offer value
Recent same-rule trend
Poor trend
Recent same-type trend
Positive trend
Recent sector trend
Strong trend
Valuation
Weak appeal
Fundamental quality
Average quality
Growth quality
Average quality
Profitability
Weak quality
Cash runway
Weak quality
Customer concentration
Cornerstone quality
Sponsor record
Strong record
Greenshoe arrangementGreenshoe: yes · 15%
Average support
Stabilizer track recordGuotai Junan
Weak record
A-share pre-grey trend
A-share listing-day trend
Public oversubscription
Weak heat
One-lot win rate
Medium heat
International placing
High heat
Final pricing position
Actual greenshoe useCumulative use +92.9%
Low support
Grey market return
Poor trend

The assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.

AI Research Report

Post-grey
The analysis report for this IPO is being generated.

Last updated 18:35:03

HK$44.00
-8.33%
48.4846.0043.52HK$48.0016:1518:35
Listing price
HK$48.00
Open
High
Low
Bid / Ask
— / —
Volume
Turnover View source

XUNCE: predicted allotment

Only key tiers are shown here. Full tiers and other allotment-pattern comparisons are on the allotment-odds page.

1 lot
36.7%

Official 12.8%

A tail · Apply 1,000 lots
18.46 lots

Official 163.82 lots

B head · Apply 1,200 lots
124.16 lots

Official 196.33 lots

Top hammer
1,138 lots

Official 1,834 lots

Most likely allotment patternLarger Pool A applications get less extra allotmentPool B allotment is similar across tiersView full allotment-odds research

How to read this page

These answers combine this IPO’s published figures with clearly labeled model estimates. They explain how to read the modules above and are not investment advice.

What is the one-lot allotment rate for XUNCE?

Public allotment filings put the official one-lot rate at 12.8%, versus this site's pre-allotment model estimate of 36.7%. It is an observation for a 1-lot application, not a guaranteed result.

What is the difference between A-tail and B-head for XUNCE?

Based on the prospectus's legal application tiers, A-tail is 1,000 lots and B-head is 1,200 lots, representing about HK$4.8M and HK$5.8M of application principal. Official average allotment was 163.82 lots and 196.33 lots, versus pre-allotment model estimates of 18.46 lots and 124.16 lots. Pool A and Pool B are allocated separately, so application size alone does not show capital efficiency.

Can the grey-market price of XUNCE be treated as the listing price?

The compiled grey-market observation is about -6.0%, versus +1.0% on the listing day. Grey-market prints are pre-listing sentiment from public sources, not the official opening price.

Why does XUNCE have three reference ratings?

The current status is "Listed", so start with the post-grey section. Subscription, pre-grey and post-grey each use only the public information available at that point, so the score can change. Labels are high attention / neutral / caution only — informational comparison, not a buy or subscribe call.