HK IPOAI

EXCELLAND ROBOT

0323118CListed

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EXCELLAND ROBOT (03231) is a listed Hong Kong IPO. This page brings together the offer price, entry fee, subscription timeline, grey-market context, allotment data and stage-based reference research in one place.

Offer price
HK$14.45 – 19.55
Final offer price
HK$14.45
One-lot win rate
24.5%

Predicted 19.4%

Proceeds
HK$650.3M
Public oversub.
140.0x

Lot / entry fee 200 shares · HK$3K · Sponsor Silver Nile Global Investments Limited

  1. Offer starts Aug 31
  2. /Offer closes Sep 4
  3. /Grey market Sep 8
  4. /Listing Sep 9Now

SubscriptionEXCELLAND ROBOT: subscription-stage reference

The subscription stage draws on the prospectus, sponsor record and early public filings. Allotment results and grey-market prints have not occurred yet.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
60.4
Forecast grey range
0.0% – +109.4%

Pre-greyEXCELLAND ROBOT: pre-grey-market reference

The pre-grey stage includes published allotment and public oversubscription data. Grey-market prints are not yet reflected here.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
61.9
Forecast grey range
0.0% – +101.3%

Post-greyEXCELLAND ROBOT: post-grey-market reference

The post-grey stage includes grey-market price and turnover observations. Listing-day results still follow official trading and company announcements.

Current
Reference rating
Neutral
Reference score
71.9
Forecast first-day range
+80.1% – +156.7%

Data updated · Sep 22, 2026, 12:02 HKT

View factors and research
Model forecastListing-day trendNeutral-positiveUp probability 98.0%
Published outcome check
First-day resultBig up+153.8%Strong all day
Our call: Trend call valid
Covered 20/25 core factors
UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A
Margin oversubscription
High heat
Offer size
Good quality
Cornerstone lockup
Low support
Post-lockup offer value
Medium scarcity
Recent same-rule trend
Poor trend
Recent same-type trend
Positive trend
Recent sector trend
Strong trend
Valuation
Average appeal
Fundamental quality
Weak quality
Growth quality
Average quality
Profitability
Weak quality
Cash runway
Weak quality
Customer concentration
High risk
Cornerstone quality
Strong support
Sponsor record
—
Greenshoe arrangementNo greenshoe
Stabilizer track record
—
A-share pre-grey trend
—
A-share listing-day trend
—
Public oversubscription
High heat
One-lot win rate
Weak heat
International placing
Low heat
Final pricing position
Rich pricing
Actual greenshoe use
—
Grey market return
Strong trend

The assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.

AI Research Report

Post-grey
The analysis report for this IPO is being generated.

Last updated 18:15:04

HK$29.70
+105.54%
32.2422.1312.02HK$14.4516:1517:0818:15
Listing price
HK$14.45
Open
HK$13.98
High
HK$30.28
Low
HK$13.01
Bid / Ask
HK$29.70 / HK$29.88
Volume
1,928,200
Turnover 48,620,826View source

EXCELLAND ROBOT: predicted allotment

Data updated · Sep 22, 2026, 14:40 HKT

Only key tiers are shown here. Full tiers and other allotment-pattern comparisons are on the allotment-odds page.

1 lot
19.4%

Predicted

Official
24.5%
A tail · Apply 1,250 lots
7.24 lots

Predicted

Official
0.34 lots
B head · Apply 1,500 lots
40.7 lots

Predicted

Official
24.32 lots
Top hammer
72.38 lots

Predicted

Official
24.67 lots
Most likely allotment pattern:Larger Pool A applications get less extra allotment;Pool B allotment falls more sharply with sizeView full allotment-odds research

How to read this page

These answers combine this IPO’s published figures with clearly labeled model estimates. They explain how to read the modules above and are not investment advice.

What is the one-lot allotment rate for EXCELLAND ROBOT?

Public allotment filings put the official one-lot rate at 24.5%, versus this site's pre-allotment model estimate of 19.4%. It is an observation for a 1-lot application, not a guaranteed result.

What is the difference between A-tail and B-head for EXCELLAND ROBOT?

Based on the prospectus's legal application tiers, A-tail is 1,250 lots and B-head is 1,500 lots, representing about HK$3.6M and HK$4.3M of application principal. Official average allotment was 0.34 lots and 24.32 lots, versus pre-allotment model estimates of 7.24 lots and 40.7 lots. Pool A and Pool B are allocated separately, so application size alone does not show capital efficiency.

Can the grey-market price of EXCELLAND ROBOT be treated as the listing price?

The compiled grey-market observation is about +106.1%, versus +153.8% on the listing day. Grey-market prints are pre-listing sentiment from public sources, not the official opening price.

Why does EXCELLAND ROBOT have three reference ratings?

The current status is "Listed", so start with the post-grey section. Subscription, pre-grey and post-grey each use only the public information available at that point, so the score can change. Labels are high attention / neutral / caution only — informational comparison, not a buy or subscribe call.