Sign in to view predicted one-lot hit rates, AI reference scores, grey-market and first-day performance values, and other core fields. Content is general information and education only, not investment advice.
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03231Numbers default to the most likely allotment pattern. Clicking another pattern only compares the table; extra-watch notes are historical comparisons and do not change the main reference.
- Start with one-lot, A-tail and B-head. The table below defaults to the most likely pattern.
- The three cards are more likely allotment patterns, not a ranking contest. Clicking another card only compares how the numbers change; it does not replace the main reference.
- An extra-watch note names one pattern to compare first. Click it to see how the numbers change. It is not a new main reference and not trading advice.
Average lots allotted when applying for 1 lot. Closer to 100% means a one-lot application is more likely to get stock.
Largest Pool A tier, usually the full small-application size. Smallest Pool B tier, just after entering the large-application pool.
The one-lot forecast uses a terminal margin estimate dynamically calibrated to the remaining subscription time. It is trajectory-based, not an observed final value. Similar-history range：66.8x–419.3x。
More likely allotment patterns
“Most likely” is the default method for the current numbers. The other cards are next-likely patterns for comparison. Clicking them does not replace the main reference.
Click to compare the table below. The table changes; the main reference does not.
Average allotment by tier
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | Expected allotment value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 1,250 | Pool A | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 4.9m | 0m |
B head | 1,500 | Pool B | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 5.9m | 0.2m |
Top hammer | 5,000 | Pool B | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 19.6m | 0.3m |
Win-rate forecasts are informational research output. Likelihood is the published scenario view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal. Extra-watch notes use forward-only historical samples, do not change the main-reference numbers, are not official allotment certainty, and are not subscription advice.