HK IPOAI

ESTUN

02715A+HListed

人工智能/機器人 · 埃斯顿是一家中国领先的工业机器人公司,提供工业机器人及智能制造系统、核心自动化部件及运动控制系统。

ESTUN (埃斯頓) (02715) is a listed Hong Kong IPO. This page brings together the offer price, entry fee, subscription timeline, grey-market context, allotment data and stage-based reference research in one place.

Offer price
HK$15.36
Final offer price
HK$15.36
One-lot win rate
5.0%

Predicted 15.4%

Proceeds
HK$1.49B
Public oversub.
19.7x

Lot / entry fee 200 shares · HK$3K · Sponsor Huatai Financial

  1. Offer starts Feb 27
  2. /Offer closes Mar 4
  3. /Grey market Mar 6
  4. /Listing Mar 9Now

SubscriptionESTUN: subscription-stage reference

The subscription stage draws on the prospectus, sponsor record and early public filings. Allotment results and grey-market prints have not occurred yet.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
56.8
Forecast grey range
-0.1% – +25.0%

Pre-greyESTUN: pre-grey-market reference

The pre-grey stage includes published allotment and public oversubscription data. Grey-market prints are not yet reflected here.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
59.6
Forecast grey range
+2.4% – +27.7%

Post-greyESTUN: post-grey-market reference

The post-grey stage includes grey-market price and turnover observations. Listing-day results still follow official trading and company announcements.

Current
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
56.7
Forecast first-day range
-8.3% – +2.0%
View factors and research
Model forecastListing-day trendCautiousUp probability 42.7%
Published outcome check
First-day resultDown-16.0%
Our call: Trend call valid
Covered 22/25 core factors
UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A
Margin oversubscription
Weak heat
Offer size
Weaker quality
Cornerstone lockup
Average support
Post-lockup offer value
Medium scarcity
Recent same-rule trend
Positive trend
Recent same-type trend
Weak trend
Recent sector trend
Strong trend
Valuation
Weak appeal
Fundamental quality
Average quality
Growth quality
Weak quality
Profitability
Weaker quality
Cash runway
Customer concentration
Cornerstone quality
Strong support
Sponsor record
Strong record
Greenshoe arrangementGreenshoe: yes · 15%
Average support
Stabilizer track recordHuatai Financial
Average record
A-share pre-grey trend
Positive trend
A-share listing-day trend
Positive trend
Public oversubscription
Weak heat
One-lot win rate
Good heat
International placing
High heat
Final pricing position
Actual greenshoe useCumulative use +100.0%
Low support
Grey market return
Poor trend

The assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.

AI Research Report

Post-grey
The analysis report for this IPO is being generated.

Last updated 18:35:03

HK$13.90
-9.51%
15.5414.6313.72HK$15.3616:1518:35
Listing price
HK$15.36
Open
High
Low
Bid / Ask
— / —
Volume
Turnover View source

ESTUN: predicted allotment

Only key tiers are shown here. Full tiers and other allotment-pattern comparisons are on the allotment-odds page.

1 lot
15.4%

Official 5.0%

A tail · Apply 1,500 lots
56.39 lots

Official 81.39 lots

B head · Apply 2,000 lots
75.1 lots

Official 108.5 lots

Top hammer
871.52 lots

Official 1,313 lots

Most likely allotment patternPool A is closer to allotment by application sizePool B allotment is similar across tiersView full allotment-odds research

How to read this page

These answers combine this IPO’s published figures with clearly labeled model estimates. They explain how to read the modules above and are not investment advice.

What is the one-lot allotment rate for ESTUN?

Public allotment filings put the official one-lot rate at 5.0%, versus this site's pre-allotment model estimate of 15.4%. It is an observation for a 1-lot application, not a guaranteed result.

What is the difference between A-tail and B-head for ESTUN?

Based on the prospectus's legal application tiers, A-tail is 1,500 lots and B-head is 2,000 lots, representing about HK$4.6M and HK$6.1M of application principal. Official average allotment was 81.39 lots and 108.5 lots, versus pre-allotment model estimates of 56.39 lots and 75.1 lots. Pool A and Pool B are allocated separately, so application size alone does not show capital efficiency.

Can the grey-market price of ESTUN be treated as the listing price?

The compiled grey-market observation is about -8.8%, versus -16.0% on the listing day. Grey-market prints are pre-listing sentiment from public sources, not the official opening price.

Why does ESTUN have three reference ratings?

The current status is "Listed", so start with the post-grey section. Subscription, pre-grey and post-grey each use only the public information available at that point, so the score can change. Labels are high attention / neutral / caution only — informational comparison, not a buy or subscribe call.