MUYUAN
02714A+HListed農業/食品 · 一家技术驱动的垂直一体化生猪养殖企业,涵盖育种、养殖、饲料、屠宰及肉制品生产。
Cautious
49.3
/100
- Offer price
- HK$39.00
- Final offer price
- HK$39.00
- Lot / entry fee
- 100 shares · HK$4K
- Proceeds
- HK$10.68B
- Sponsor
- Morgan Stanley / CITIC Securities / Goldman Sachs
- Est. margin oversub.
- 4.5x
- Public oversub.
- 5.9x
- One-lot win rate
- 100.0%
- First-day return
- +3.9%
Offer starts
Jan 29
Offer closes
Feb 3
Grey market
Feb 5
Listing
Feb 6
AI reference scoring and scenarios
After grey market
After grey market L1 heat score
49.3/ 100
Data coverage High
Target
Historical calibration
Listing-day trend
High cautionPartial basis
Up probability
40.0%
First-day reference range
-5.1% – +13.7%
Published outcome check
First-day resultFlat+3.9%
Our call: Trend call valid
Covered 21/25 core factors
UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A
Margin oversubscription
Weak heatOffer size
Weak qualityCornerstone lockup
Weak supportPost-lockup offer value
Weak scarcityRecent same-rule trend
Strong trendRecent same-type trend
Poor trendRecent sector trend
—Valuation
Weak appealFundamental quality
Weaker qualityGrowth quality
Average qualityProfitability
Weaker qualityCash runway
—Customer concentration
—Cornerstone quality
Strong supportSponsor record
Strong recordGreenshoe arrangementGreenshoe: yes · 15%
Average supportStabilizer track recordMorgan Stanley
Good recordA-share pre-grey trend
Poor trendA-share listing-day trend
Poor trendPublic oversubscription
Weak heatOne-lot win rate
Weak heatInternational placing
High heatFinal pricing position
—Actual greenshoe useCumulative use +6.5%
Average supportGrey market return
Neutral trendThe assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.
AI Research Report
After grey marketThe analysis report for this IPO is being generated.