HK IPOAI

TRANSSION

02636A+HListed

人工智能/機器人 · 公司提供手机及配件产品,产品销往中国大陆以外市场,并涉及智能手机操作系统和影像系统等应用场景。

TRANSSION (02636) is a listed Hong Kong IPO. This page brings together the offer price, entry fee, subscription timeline, grey-market context, allotment data and stage-based reference research in one place.

Offer price
HK$35.30 – 38.80
Final offer price
HK$35.30
One-lot win rate
100.0%

Predicted 98.0%

Proceeds
HK$3.06B
Public oversub.
4.5x

Lot / entry fee 100 shares · HK$4K · Sponsor CITIC Securities

  1. Offer starts Oct 7
  2. /Offer closes Oct 12
  3. /Grey market Oct 14
  4. /Listing Oct 15Now

SubscriptionTRANSSION: subscription-stage reference

The subscription stage draws on the prospectus, sponsor record and early public filings. Allotment results and grey-market prints have not occurred yet.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
51
Forecast grey range
-11.3% – +10.5%

Pre-greyTRANSSION: pre-grey-market reference

The pre-grey stage includes published allotment and public oversubscription data. Grey-market prints are not yet reflected here.

Earlier stage
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
48.1
Forecast grey range
-6.8% – +16.1%

Post-greyTRANSSION: post-grey-market reference

The post-grey stage includes grey-market price and turnover observations. Listing-day results still follow official trading and company announcements.

Current
Reference rating
Cautious
Reference score
46.2
Forecast first-day range
-6.1% – +3.7%

Data updated · Oct 15, 2026, 19:00 HKT

View factors and research
Model forecastListing-day trendHigh cautionUp probability 30.5%
Published outcome check
First-day resultFlat-4.0%Normal
Our call: Trend call valid
Covered 24/25 core factors
UsedMissingNot yet scorableN/A
Margin oversubscription
Weak heat
Offer size
Weaker quality
Cornerstone lockup
Strong support
Post-lockup offer value
Weak scarcity
Recent same-rule trend
Poor trend
Recent same-type trend
Poor trend
Recent sector trend
Strong trend
Valuation
Weak appeal
Fundamental quality
Average quality
Growth quality
Weak quality
Profitability
High quality
Cash runway
—
Customer concentration
Lower risk
Cornerstone quality
Strong support
Sponsor record
Strong record
Greenshoe arrangementGreenshoe: yes · 15%
Average support
Stabilizer track recordCLSA
Strong record
A-share pre-grey trend
Positive trend
A-share listing-day trend
Positive trend
Public oversubscription
Weak heat
One-lot win rate
Weak heat
International placing
High heat
Final pricing position
Rich pricing
Actual greenshoe useCumulative use +42.6%
Weak support
Grey market return
Poor trend

The assessment and probability ranges are informational only and are not investment advice.

AI Research Report

Post-grey
The analysis report for this IPO is being generated.

Last updated 18:29:26

HK$34.56
-2.10%
35.4134.8334.25HK$35.3016:1517:3518:29
Listing price
HK$35.30
Open
HK$35.30
High
HK$35.32
Low
HK$33.12
Bid / Ask
HK$34.56 / HK$34.58
Volume
1,470,500
Turnover 50,638,184View source

TRANSSION: predicted allotment

Data updated · Oct 15, 2026, 18:57 HKT

Only key tiers are shown here. Full tiers and other allotment-pattern comparisons are on the allotment-odds page.

1 lot
98.0%

Predicted

Official
100.0%
A tail · Apply 1,000 lots
157.53 lots

Predicted

Official
102 lots
B head · Apply 2,000 lots
263.9 lots

Predicted

Official
500 lots
Top hammer
5,716.51 lots

Predicted

Official
10,605 lots
Most likely allotment pattern:Pool A's allotment rate is roughly flat across application tiers;Pool B allotment is similar across tiersView full allotment-odds research

How to read this page

These answers combine this IPO’s published figures with clearly labeled model estimates. They explain how to read the modules above and are not investment advice.

What is the one-lot allotment rate for TRANSSION?

Public allotment filings put the official one-lot rate at 100.0%, versus this site's pre-allotment model estimate of 98.0%. It is an observation for a 1-lot application, not a guaranteed result.

What is the difference between A-tail and B-head for TRANSSION?

Based on the prospectus's legal application tiers, A-tail is 1,000 lots and B-head is 2,000 lots, representing about HK$3.5M and HK$7.1M of application principal. Official average allotment was 102 lots and 500 lots, versus pre-allotment model estimates of 157.53 lots and 263.9 lots. Pool A and Pool B are allocated separately, so application size alone does not show capital efficiency.

Can the grey-market price of TRANSSION be treated as the listing price?

The compiled grey-market observation is about -1.8%, versus -4.0% on the listing day. Grey-market prints are pre-listing sentiment from public sources, not the official opening price.

Why does TRANSSION have three reference ratings?

The current status is "Listed", so start with the post-grey section. Subscription, pre-grey and post-grey each use only the public information available at that point, so the score can change. Labels are high attention / neutral / caution only — informational comparison, not a buy or subscribe call.