BBSB INTL

08610

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Very steep

Joint probability

53%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

1.1%

Official one-lot hit rate?

0.1%

Public offer lots

3,125 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.011 lots	0.001 lots	Relative deviation 101.0% Absolute diff. 0.010 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,875	Pool A	0.117 lots	0.173 lots	Relative deviation 32.5% Absolute diff. 0.056 lots	4.5m	0m
B head	2,500	Pool B	0.141 lots	0.230 lots	Relative deviation 38.7% Absolute diff. 0.089 lots	6m	0m
Top	3,125	Pool B	0.148 lots	0.287 lots	Relative deviation 48.6% Absolute diff. 0.140 lots	7.5m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.