JIANGXI BIO

06915

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Steep

Joint probability

59%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

4.9%

Official one-lot hit rate?

2.0%

Public offer lots

7,246 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.049 lots	0.020 lots	Relative deviation 146.8% Absolute diff. 0.029 lots	0m	0m
A tail	800	Pool A	0.823 lots	2.000 lots	Relative deviation 58.8% Absolute diff. 1.177 lots	4.5m	0m
B head	1,000	Pool B	2.577 lots	2.177 lots	Relative deviation 18.4% Absolute diff. 0.400 lots	5.6m	0m
Top	3,623	Pool B	4.842 lots	3.365 lots	Relative deviation 43.9% Absolute diff. 1.476 lots	20.3m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.