TENNOR THERAP-B

06872

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

56%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

1.7%

Official one-lot hit rate?

0.8%

Public offer lots

17,712 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.017 lots	0.008 lots	Relative deviation 93.0% Absolute diff. 0.009 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,200	Pool A	0.098 lots	0.138 lots	Relative deviation 28.9% Absolute diff. 0.040 lots	4.5m	0m
B head	1,400	Pool B	0.103 lots	0.140 lots	Relative deviation 26.2% Absolute diff. 0.037 lots	5.3m	0m
Top	8,281	Pool B	0.339 lots	0.436 lots	Relative deviation 22.3% Absolute diff. 0.097 lots	31.3m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.