One-lot hit rate is free. Pro unlocks A-tail, B-head, top-hammer, full tier tables, and allotment-form comparisons. Content is general information and research only, not investment advice.
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06700Numbers default to the most likely allotment pattern. Clicking another pattern only compares the table; extra-watch notes are historical comparisons and do not change the main reference.
- Start with one-lot, A-tail and B-head. The table below defaults to the most likely pattern.
- The three cards are more likely allotment patterns, not a ranking contest. Clicking another card only compares how the numbers change; it does not replace the main reference.
- An extra-watch note names one pattern to compare first. Click it to see how the numbers change. It is not a new main reference and not trading advice.
Average lots allotted when applying for 1 lot. Closer to 100% means a one-lot application is more likely to get stock.
Largest Pool A tier, usually the full small-application size. Smallest Pool B tier, just after entering the large-application pool.
The one-lot forecast uses a terminal margin estimate dynamically calibrated to the remaining subscription time. It is trajectory-based, not an observed final value. Similar-history range：Pro unlock。
More likely allotment patterns
“Most likely” is the default method for the current numbers. The other cards are next-likely patterns for comparison. Clicking them does not replace the main reference.
Click to compare the table below. The table changes; the main reference does not.
Average allotment by tier
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | Expected allotment value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | 53.9% | - | - | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 3,000 | Pool A | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock |
B head | 4,000 | Pool B | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock |
Top hammer | 29,481 | Pool B | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock | Pro unlock |
Win-rate forecasts are informational research output. Likelihood is the published scenario view. Extra-watch notes use forward-only historical samples, do not change the main-reference numbers, are not official allotment certainty, and are not subscription advice.