ONEROBOTICS

06600

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Steep

Joint probability

57%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

6.2%

Official one-lot hit rate?

7.0%

Public offer lots

22,222 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.062 lots	0.070 lots	Relative deviation 11.1% Absolute diff. 0.008 lots	0m	0m
A tail	600	Pool A	0.967 lots	1.380 lots	Relative deviation 29.9% Absolute diff. 0.413 lots	4.4m	0m
B head	700	Pool B	2.348 lots	2.193 lots	Relative deviation 7.1% Absolute diff. 0.155 lots	5.2m	0m
Top	11,111	Pool B	9.802 lots	34.000 lots	Relative deviation 71.2% Absolute diff. 24.198 lots	82m	0.1m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.