SANY HEAVY IND

06031

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Flat

Joint probability

61%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

20.0%

Official one-lot hit rate?

50.0%

Public offer lots

315,799 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.200 lots	0.500 lots	Relative deviation 60.0% Absolute diff. 0.300 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,000	Pool A	6.190 lots	12.504 lots	Relative deviation 50.5% Absolute diff. 6.314 lots	4.3m	0m
B head	1,500	Pool B	17.708 lots	18.751 lots	Relative deviation 5.6% Absolute diff. 1.042 lots	6.4m	0.1m
Top	145,106	Pool B	1,449.768 lots	1,791.500 lots	Relative deviation 19.1% Absolute diff. 341.733 lots	618.2m	6.2m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.