VIEWTRIX TECH

03310

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

57%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

2.5%

Official one-lot hit rate?

3.0%

Public offer lots

26,430 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.026 lots	0.030 lots	Relative deviation 15.0% Absolute diff. 0.004 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,000	Pool A	0.202 lots	0.311 lots	Relative deviation 35.0% Absolute diff. 0.109 lots	4.2m	0m
B head	1,500	Pool B	0.326 lots	0.454 lots	Relative deviation 28.3% Absolute diff. 0.128 lots	6.2m	0m
Top	13,215	Pool B	1.369 lots	1.557 lots	Relative deviation 12.1% Absolute diff. 0.188 lots	55m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.