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ZJ INNOLIGHT

03308

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Proportional + Flat

Joint probability

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

Official one-lot hit rate?

Public offer lots

109,000 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	0.1m	0m
A tail	80	Pool A	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	4m	0.2m
B head	100	Pool B	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	5.1m	0.2m
Top	54,500	Pool B	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	Sign in to view	2,752.3m	94.8m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.