GPIXEL
03277Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.
Joint-scenario Top 3
Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, the warning system issued10warnings of this type;8correctly identified that the primary would miss.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, the warning system issued9warnings of this type;3ultimately matched the warned scenario: Proportional + Flat。
Subscription tiers
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | 0.048 lots | 0.010 lots | Relative deviation 377.6% Absolute diff. 0.038 lots | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 1,000 | Pool A | 0.438 lots | 0.960 lots | Relative deviation 54.4% Absolute diff. 0.523 lots | 4m | 0m |
B head | 2,000 | Pool B | 0.896 lots | 2.000 lots | Relative deviation 55.2% Absolute diff. 1.104 lots | 8m | 0m |
Top | 32,647 | Pool B | 14.579 lots | 9.469 lots | Relative deviation 54.0% Absolute diff. 5.110 lots | 130.2m | 0.1m |
Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.