HK IPOAI
Back to win-rate list
Create an account or sign in first

Create an account or sign in to continue and check the access required for this content.

Create account or sign in
Official listing-plan update

Existing model output is only a historical snapshot from before invalidation and is no longer a current subscribable IPO forecast.

MICROINTELLIGEN

03275

Numbers default to the most likely allotment pattern. Clicking another pattern only compares the table; extra-watch notes are historical comparisons and do not change the main reference.

Data updated · Oct 26, 2026, 12:06 HKT

Model basis: Strong basis
How to read this page
  1. Start with one-lot, A-tail and B-head. The table below defaults to the most likely pattern.
  2. The three cards are more likely allotment patterns, not a ranking contest. Clicking another card only compares how the numbers change; it does not replace the main reference.
  3. An extra-watch note names one pattern to compare first. Click it to see how the numbers change. It is not a new main reference and not trading advice.
Predicted one-lot hit rate?
20.9%

Average lots allotted when applying for 1 lot. Closer to 100% means a one-lot application is more likely to get stock.

Official one-lot hit rate?
-
Predicted A-tail allotted?
Sign in to view
Predicted B-head allotted?
Sign in to view

Largest Pool A tier, usually the full small-application size. Smallest Pool B tier, just after entering the large-application pool.

Public offer lots
37,276 lots
Extra watch

The main reference is less certain. No single pattern is raised as a replacement; start with the next-likely:

Larger Pool A applications get less extra allotment;Pool B allotment declines gradually with size

Diminishing + Gradual

This is not a new main reference. It is the pattern most worth checking first after this note.

More likely allotment patterns

“Most likely” is the default method for the current numbers. The other cards are next-likely patterns for comparison. Clicking them does not replace the main reference.

Click to compare the table below. The table changes; the main reference does not.

Average allotment by tier

Key tiers are 1 lot, A-tail, B-head and top hammer. The core column is average allotted lots; the official column appears after allotment is published.
Table scenario
Larger Pool A applications get less extra allotment;Pool B allotment is similar across tiers
TypeLotsPoolPredicted avg. allotted?Official avg. allottedDeviationApplication amountExpected allotment value
1 lot
1Pool A20.9%--0m0m
A tail
2,000Pool ASign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to view
B head
2,500Pool BSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to view
Top hammer
18,638Pool BSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to viewSign in to view

Win-rate forecasts are informational research output. Likelihood is the published scenario view. Extra-watch notes use forward-only historical samples, do not change the main-reference numbers, are not official allotment certainty, and are not subscription advice.