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03223Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.
The one-lot forecast uses a lower-band conservative terminal margin estimate. It is trajectory-based, not an observed final value. Similar-history range：133.2x–14,057.3x。
Joint-scenario Top 3
Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.
Subscription tiers
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 400 | Pool A | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 4.1m | 0m |
B head | 500 | Pool B | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 5.1m | 0m |
Top | 15,644 | Pool B | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 160.8m | 0.5m |
Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.