GALAXIS TECH

02729

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Steep

Joint probability

60%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

3.2%

Official one-lot hit rate?

5.0%

Public offer lots

18,399 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.032 lots	0.050 lots	Relative deviation 35.6% Absolute diff. 0.018 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,500	Pool A	0.343 lots	0.733 lots	Relative deviation 53.2% Absolute diff. 0.390 lots	5m	0m
B head	2,000	Pool B	0.780 lots	0.802 lots	Relative deviation 2.8% Absolute diff. 0.023 lots	6.7m	0m
Top	9,199	Pool B	1.703 lots	1.833 lots	Relative deviation 7.1% Absolute diff. 0.130 lots	30.7m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.