EDGE MEDICAL-B

02675

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Steep

Joint probability

58%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

4.3%

Official one-lot hit rate?

0.5%

Public offer lots

27,723 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.043 lots	0.005 lots	Relative deviation 383.9% Absolute diff. 0.038 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,000	Pool A	0.484 lots	1.080 lots	Relative deviation 55.2% Absolute diff. 0.596 lots	4.3m	0m
B head	2,000	Pool B	1.459 lots	1.800 lots	Relative deviation 19.0% Absolute diff. 0.341 lots	8.6m	0m
Top	13,861	Pool B	3.934 lots	4.961 lots	Relative deviation 20.7% Absolute diff. 1.027 lots	59.9m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.