BAIGE DIGITAL

02672

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

67%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

17.0%

Official one-lot hit rate?

10.0%

Public offer lots

16,673 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.170 lots	0.100 lots	Relative deviation 70.1% Absolute diff. 0.070 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,500	Pool A	3.779 lots	4.718 lots	Relative deviation 19.9% Absolute diff. 0.940 lots	4.7m	0m
B head	2,000	Pool B	22.294 lots	6.000 lots	Relative deviation 271.6% Absolute diff. 16.294 lots	6.2m	0.1m
Top	8,336	Pool B	56.867 lots	16.000 lots	Relative deviation 255.4% Absolute diff. 40.867 lots	26m	0.2m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.