GUOXIA TECH
02655Numbers default to the most likely allotment pattern. Clicking another pattern only compares the table; extra-watch notes are historical comparisons and do not change the main reference.
- Start with one-lot, A-tail and B-head. The table below defaults to the most likely pattern.
- The three cards are more likely allotment patterns, not a ranking contest. Clicking another card only compares how the numbers change; it does not replace the main reference.
- An extra-watch note names one pattern to compare first. Click it to see how the numbers change. It is not a new main reference and not trading advice.
Average lots allotted when applying for 1 lot. Closer to 100% means a one-lot application is more likely to get stock.
Largest Pool A tier, usually the full small-application size. Smallest Pool B tier, just after entering the large-application pool.
The main reference is less certain. No single pattern is raised as a replacement; start with the next-likely:
Larger Pool A applications get less extra allotment；Pool B allotment falls more sharply with size
Diminishing + Steep
This is not a new main reference. It is the pattern most worth checking first after this note.
More likely allotment patterns
“Most likely” is the default method for the current numbers. The other cards are next-likely patterns for comparison. Clicking them does not replace the main reference.
Click to compare the table below. The table changes; the main reference does not.
The main reference is less certain: after similar notes in history, the final result often was not this pattern.
The numbers below still use the main reference. Click other cards to see how they differ; this is not a new main reference.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, this note appeared10times;8times the main reference later did not become the final result.
Average allotment by tier
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | Expected allotment value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | 0.040 lots | 0.100 lots | Relative deviation 60.1% Absolute diff. 0.060 lots | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 2,000 | Pool A | 0.591 lots | 0.129 lots | Relative deviation 357.4% Absolute diff. 0.462 lots | 4m | 0m |
B head | 2,500 | Pool B | 0.909 lots | 1.731 lots | Relative deviation 47.5% Absolute diff. 0.822 lots | 5m | 0m |
Top hammer | 16,926 | Pool B | 3.549 lots | 1.758 lots | Relative deviation 101.9% Absolute diff. 1.792 lots | 34m | 0m |
Win-rate forecasts are informational research output. Likelihood is the published scenario view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal. Extra-watch notes use forward-only historical samples, do not change the main-reference numbers, are not official allotment certainty, and are not subscription advice.