HAIXI PHARMA

02637

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

54%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

2.6%

Official one-lot hit rate?

1.0%

Public offer lots

23,000 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.026 lots	0.010 lots	Relative deviation 156.9% Absolute diff. 0.016 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,000	Pool A	0.216 lots	0.327 lots	Relative deviation 34.0% Absolute diff. 0.111 lots	4.3m	0m
B head	1,200	Pool B	0.304 lots	0.348 lots	Relative deviation 12.6% Absolute diff. 0.044 lots	5.2m	0m
Top	11,500	Pool B	1.351 lots	1.772 lots	Relative deviation 23.8% Absolute diff. 0.421 lots	49.7m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.