AB&B BIO-TECH-B

02627

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

54%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

7.5%

Official one-lot hit rate?

1.0%

Public offer lots

58,520 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.075 lots	0.010 lots	Relative deviation 645.6% Absolute diff. 0.065 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,500	Pool A	1.272 lots	0.244 lots	Relative deviation 421.8% Absolute diff. 1.028 lots	3.9m	0m
B head	2,000	Pool B	2.400 lots	0.600 lots	Relative deviation 299.9% Absolute diff. 1.800 lots	5.2m	0m
Top	8,361	Pool B	6.177 lots	1.528 lots	Relative deviation 304.1% Absolute diff. 4.648 lots	21.6m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.