LEMO SERVICES

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Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

56%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

1.2%

Official one-lot hit rate?

0.8%

Public offer lots

5,555 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.012 lots	0.008 lots	Relative deviation 43.0% Absolute diff. 0.004 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,200	Pool A	0.138 lots	0.067 lots	Relative deviation 106.1% Absolute diff. 0.071 lots	4.8m	0m
B head	1,400	Pool B	0.120 lots	0.140 lots	Relative deviation 14.1% Absolute diff. 0.020 lots	5.6m	0m
Top	2,778	Pool B	0.197 lots	0.274 lots	Relative deviation 28.2% Absolute diff. 0.077 lots	11.1m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.