Official listing-plan update

Existing model output is only a historical snapshot from before invalidation and is no longer a current subscribable IPO forecast.

EKH

02523

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Very steep

Joint probability

56%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

1.1%

Official one-lot hit rate?

Public offer lots

2,580 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.011 lots	-	-	0m	0m
A tail	900	Pool A	0.100 lots	-	-	4.8m	0m
B head	1,000	Pool B	0.078 lots	-	-	5.4m	0m
Top	1,290	Pool B	0.082 lots	-	-	6.9m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.