B&K CORP-B

02396

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Proportional + Steep

Joint probability

46%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

0.3%

Official one-lot hit rate?

2.5%

Public offer lots

8,825 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.003 lots	0.025 lots	Relative deviation 89.2% Absolute diff. 0.022 lots	0m	0m
A tail	500	Pool A	0.782 lots	0.600 lots	Relative deviation 30.3% Absolute diff. 0.182 lots	3.8m	0m
B head	750	Pool B	0.702 lots	0.783 lots	Relative deviation 10.3% Absolute diff. 0.081 lots	5.7m	0m
Top	4,412	Pool B	1.772 lots	2.615 lots	Relative deviation 32.2% Absolute diff. 0.843 lots	33.7m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.