KEYTOP PARKING

02272

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

59%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

4.2%

Official one-lot hit rate?

2.0%

Public offer lots

16,853 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.042 lots	0.020 lots	Relative deviation 108.4% Absolute diff. 0.022 lots	0m	0m
A tail	2,000	Pool A	0.534 lots	0.465 lots	Relative deviation 14.8% Absolute diff. 0.069 lots	4.7m	0m
B head	2,250	Pool B	1.058 lots	0.900 lots	Relative deviation 17.5% Absolute diff. 0.158 lots	5.3m	0m
Top	8,427	Pool B	2.529 lots	1.992 lots	Relative deviation 26.9% Absolute diff. 0.537 lots	20m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.