ZIJIN GOLD INTL

02259

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Proportional + Flat

Joint probability

53%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

0.9%

Official one-lot hit rate?

50.0%

Public offer lots

348,990 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.009 lots	0.500 lots	Relative deviation 98.3% Absolute diff. 0.492 lots	0m	0m
A tail	600	Pool A	2.858 lots	0.784 lots	Relative deviation 264.6% Absolute diff. 2.074 lots	4.3m	0m
B head	700	Pool B	1.501 lots	4.000 lots	Relative deviation 62.5% Absolute diff. 2.499 lots	5m	0m
Top	174,495	Pool B	372.095 lots	188.000 lots	Relative deviation 97.9% Absolute diff. 184.095 lots	1,249.2m	2.7m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.