WENGE AI
01956Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.
Joint-scenario Top 3
Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, the warning system issued10warnings of this type;8correctly identified that the primary would miss.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, the warning system issued9warnings of this type;3ultimately matched the warned scenario: Proportional + Flat。
Subscription tiers
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | 0.029 lots | 0.001 lots | Relative deviation 277.5% Absolute diff. 0.028 lots | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 400 | Pool A | 0.246 lots | 0.581 lots | Relative deviation 57.6% Absolute diff. 0.335 lots | 4.9m | 0m |
B head | 450 | Pool B | 0.205 lots | 0.196 lots | Relative deviation 4.6% Absolute diff. 0.009 lots | 5.5m | 0m |
Top | 1,854 | Pool B | 0.837 lots | 0.808 lots | Relative deviation 3.6% Absolute diff. 0.029 lots | 22.5m | 0m |
Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.