HQVT
01392Numbers default to the most likely allotment pattern. Clicking another pattern only compares the table; extra-watch notes are historical comparisons and do not change the main reference.
- Start with one-lot, A-tail and B-head. The table below defaults to the most likely pattern.
- The three cards are more likely allotment patterns, not a ranking contest. Clicking another card only compares how the numbers change; it does not replace the main reference.
- An extra-watch note names one pattern to compare first. Click it to see how the numbers change. It is not a new main reference and not trading advice.
Average lots allotted when applying for 1 lot. Closer to 100% means a one-lot application is more likely to get stock.
Largest Pool A tier, usually the full small-application size. Smallest Pool B tier, just after entering the large-application pool.
The main reference is less certain. After this note, compare first:
Pool A is closer to allotment by application size；Pool B allotment is similar across tiers
Proportional + Flat
This is not a new main reference. It is the pattern most worth checking first after this note.
More likely allotment patterns
“Most likely” is the default method for the current numbers. The other cards are next-likely patterns for comparison. Clicking them does not replace the main reference.
Click to compare the table below. The table changes; the main reference does not.
The main reference is less certain: after similar notes in history, the final result often was not this pattern.
The numbers below still use the main reference. Click other cards to see how they differ; this is not a new main reference.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, this note appeared10times;8times the main reference later did not become the final result.
This pattern has appeared in history. Compare it alongside the main reference; it does not replace it.
Click this card to compare allotment under that pattern. It is for comparison only and does not replace the main reference.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, this note appeared9times;3times the final result matched this pattern: Proportional + Flat。
Average allotment by tier
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | Expected allotment value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | 0.020 lots | 0.020 lots | Relative deviation 0.5% Absolute diff. 0.000 lots | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 1,200 | Pool A | 0.133 lots | 0.090 lots | Relative deviation 47.7% Absolute diff. 0.043 lots | 4.3m | 0m |
B head | 1,400 | Pool B | 0.113 lots | 0.140 lots | Relative deviation 19.1% Absolute diff. 0.027 lots | 5m | 0m |
Top hammer | 8,516 | Pool B | 0.676 lots | 0.702 lots | Relative deviation 3.7% Absolute diff. 0.026 lots | 30.7m | 0m |
Win-rate forecasts are informational research output. Likelihood is the published scenario view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal. Extra-watch notes use forward-only historical samples, do not change the main-reference numbers, are not official allotment certainty, and are not subscription advice.