HK IPOAIHong Kong IPO intelligence
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DEEPEXI TECH

01384

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis
Primary
Diminishing + Steep
Joint probability
57%
Warning status
No active warning
Predicted one-lot hit rate?
3.8%
Official one-lot hit rate?
3.0%
Public offer lots
26,632 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.
TypeLotsPoolPredicted avg. allotted?Official avg. allottedDeviationApplication amount
1 lot
1Pool A0.038 lots0.030 lots
Relative deviation 27.3%
Absolute diff. 0.008 lots
0m0m
A tail
900Pool A0.381 lots0.210 lots
Relative deviation 81.6%
Absolute diff. 0.171 lots
4.8m0m
B head
1,000Pool B0.406 lots0.400 lots
Relative deviation 1.5%
Absolute diff. 0.006 lots
5.3m0m
Top
3,329Pool B0.751 lots1.283 lots
Relative deviation 41.5%
Absolute diff. 0.533 lots
17.8m0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.