DTECH

01377

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Steep

Joint probability

58%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

3.1%

Official one-lot hit rate?

3.0%

Public offer lots

12,632 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.031 lots	0.030 lots	Relative deviation 4.0% Absolute diff. 0.001 lots	0m	0m
A tail	100	Pool A	0.236 lots	0.195 lots	Relative deviation 21.0% Absolute diff. 0.041 lots	3.8m	0m
B head	200	Pool B	0.850 lots	0.600 lots	Relative deviation 41.6% Absolute diff. 0.250 lots	7.6m	0m
Top	5,684	Pool B	4.377 lots	3.690 lots	Relative deviation 18.6% Absolute diff. 0.687 lots	216m	0.2m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.