ESWIN COMPUTING

01256

Numbers default to the most likely allotment pattern. Clicking another pattern only compares the table; extra-watch notes are historical comparisons and do not change the main reference.

Data updated · Oct 9, 2026, 18:40 HKT

Model basis: Strong basis

How to read this page

Start with one-lot, A-tail and B-head. The table below defaults to the most likely pattern.
The three cards are more likely allotment patterns, not a ranking contest. Clicking another card only compares how the numbers change; it does not replace the main reference.
An extra-watch note names one pattern to compare first. Click it to see how the numbers change. It is not a new main reference and not trading advice.

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

53.5%

Average lots allotted when applying for 1 lot. Closer to 100% means a one-lot application is more likely to get stock.

Official one-lot hit rate?

10.0%

Predicted A-tail allotted?

17.535 lots

Official A-tail allotted

146.200 lots

Predicted B-head allotted?

149.107 lots

Official B-head allotted

251.462 lots

Largest Pool A tier, usually the full small-application size. Smallest Pool B tier, just after entering the large-application pool.

Public offer lots

80,866 lots

More likely allotment patterns

“Most likely” is the default method for the current numbers. The other cards are next-likely patterns for comparison. Clicking them does not replace the main reference.

Click to compare the table below. The table changes; the main reference does not.

Average allotment by tier

Key tiers are 1 lot, A-tail, B-head and top hammer. The core column is average allotted lots; the official column appears after allotment is published.

Table scenario

Larger Pool A applications get less extra allotment；Pool B allotment is similar across tiers

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount	Expected allotment value
1 lot	1	Pool A	53.5%	10.0%	Relative deviation 433.7% Absolute diff. 43.5%	0m	0m
A tail	1,500	Pool A	17.535 lots	146.200 lots	Relative deviation 88.0% Absolute diff. 128.665 lots	4.7m	0.1m
B head	2,000	Pool B	149.107 lots	251.462 lots	Relative deviation 40.7% Absolute diff. 102.355 lots	6.2m	0.5m
Top hammer	39,255	Pool B	2,863.684 lots	4,935.000 lots	Relative deviation 42.0% Absolute diff. 2,071.316 lots	121.7m	8.9m

Win-rate forecasts are informational research output. Likelihood is the published scenario view. Extra-watch notes use forward-only historical samples, do not change the main-reference numbers, are not official allotment certainty, and are not subscription advice.