Sign in to view predicted one-lot hit rates, AI reference scores, grey-market and first-day performance values, and other core fields. Content is general information and education only, not investment advice.
Sign in to viewSHEIN-W
00625Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.
The one-lot forecast uses a lower-band conservative terminal margin estimate. It is trajectory-based, not an observed final value. Similar-history range：16.1x–155.1x。
Joint-scenario Top 3
Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, the warning system issued10warnings of this type;8correctly identified that the primary would miss.
To date, among stocks with published allotment results, the warning system issued9warnings of this type;3ultimately matched the warned scenario: Proportional + Flat。
Subscription tiers
| Type | Lots | Pool | Predicted avg. allotted? | Official avg. allotted | Deviation | Application amount | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 lot | 1 | Pool A | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 0m | 0m |
A tail | 1,000 | Pool A | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 5m | 0m |
B head | 1,500 | Pool B | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 7.5m | 0m |
Top | 139,996 | Pool B | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | Sign in to view | 700m | 0m |
Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.