MANYCORE TECH

00068

Joint-scenario probability is the final recommendation. Switch among the Top 3 or a warned scenario to inspect its effect on average allotted lots by tier.

Model basis: Strong basis

Primary

Diminishing + Gradual

Joint probability

56%

Warning status

No active warning

Predicted one-lot hit rate?

4.0%

Official one-lot hit rate?

3.0%

Public offer lots

32,124 lots

Joint-scenario Top 3

Only joint probabilities that account for Pool A/B dependence are shown. Top 2/3 are alternatives; single-pool probabilities remain internal model inputs and are not published.

Subscription tiers

Prospectus subscription tiers are shown; the core field is average allotted lots, and key tiers are highlighted.

Type	Lots	Pool	Predicted avg. allotted?	Official avg. allotted	Deviation	Application amount
1 lot	1	Pool A	0.040 lots	0.030 lots	Relative deviation 32.0% Absolute diff. 0.010 lots	0m	0m
A tail	1,200	Pool A	0.411 lots	0.879 lots	Relative deviation 53.3% Absolute diff. 0.468 lots	4.6m	0m
B head	1,400	Pool B	0.647 lots	0.870 lots	Relative deviation 25.6% Absolute diff. 0.223 lots	5.3m	0m
Top	16,062	Pool B	3.681 lots	4.000 lots	Relative deviation 8.0% Absolute diff. 0.319 lots	61.2m	0m

Allotment forecasts are informational research output. Joint-scenario probability is the only published scenario-probability view; Pool A/B probabilities remain internal model inputs. Warnings use forward-only historical data and do not alter the official probabilities or default choice.